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The stock market won't crash and this is why
Yes let's face it central banks are not going to take their foot of the pedal now. In the last few years it's been an investors paradise (buy and hold), my view is that we are now in a new paradigm. This new era won't be rewarding for most passive investors, cyclical sectors & valuation trading and all that old fashioned stuff will come back in play. It will be rewarding for nimble traders and savvy investors. "So there's never been a better time to work hard at learning to be a better trader, investor". YouTube Video
The Manager, Fidelibus Lucrum, Pooled Investment Club.
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Stock market news -S&P 500 crash discussed - why did it happen
Occasionally in life we are confronted with complex quandaries, one of the ways I find objective resolution is to simplify the conundrum. What do we know for sure??, we know that it's primarily political incompetence and corruption that has taken us where we are today with global debt at a record high of $217 Trillion or 327% of global GDP. We also know that governments will never resolve the situation because they are the instigators of the problems introducing higher taxes to finance ever increasing government expansions which in turn poses headwinds for the private sector and impedes its growth. We also know that each preceding US president doubles down on all previous presidents combined debts and Trump is well out of the starting blocks with all the well publicized projects. In knowledge of all of this what makes anyone believe that the central banks will ever manage the forthcoming day of reckoning, So my message is we are fast approaching the day that your 401k may be the least of your worries. YouTube Video
The Manager, Fidelibus Lucrum, Pooled Investment Club.
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Stock market investing - look for high uncertainty and low risk
Risk in many ways is a perception for instance on November 2008 my son was booked to go to Mumbai (India) the week before he was due to go they had the terrorist attacks. Most parents would freak out and plead with their child to cancel the trip but I had the exact opposite sentiment, I never felt so sure of his safety. As a trader of 30 years+ and understanding real risk knowing that one week after the attacks in Mumbai it would be one of the safest places on this planet for him to visit with the elevated security in place. The VIX index is at an all time low and I have never been so cautious of the market and trading as i am today. On a scale of 1 to 10 (10 being taking the max risk) I am at 1 or 2 on my risk management, that is to say I see today's market as Mumbai the week before the attacks and February 2009 as Mumbai the week after the attacks the opposite of what the VIX is indicating today. YouTube Video
The Manager, Fidelibus Lucrum, Pooled Investment Club.
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